Why are our inflation figures, particularly for Consumer Price Index, in India, so high?
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The government keeps giving multiple explanations for this. Sometimes, it is said that this is because of supply-side issues. Other times, the government says that this is because of high growth and huge increase in demand with not much increase in supply. Once, the government gave a reason that it's because of our huge population that inflation is so high. And sometimes the reason is attributed to global factors beyond our government's control. Also, it's very interesting to note that if we look at Economic Survey Figures of 2011-12, under NDA, the Food part of Consumer Price Index (CPI) grew at around 4% during the 6 years of NDA while the same figures for UPA during 2004-05 to 2010-11 are more than 8% and inflation continues to remain high even after March 2011. So why is inflation, and more so, food inflation, higher under UPA compared to NDA?
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Answer:
Apart from supply side reasons, Here are some others: The Government of India's (GoI) grain procurement policy. "As on July 1, 2013, the government is expected to have around 82 million tonnes of rice and wheat. What this means that the government has an excess stock of nearly 30-40 million tonnes. As Gulati and Jain point out âThe value locked in these âexcess stocksâ, evaluated at their economic cost, ranges from Rs 70,000 crore to Rs 92,000 crore. This infusion of âexcessâ money into the economy without corresponding flow of goods is evident in the paradox of rising prices of rice & wheat amidst overflowing stocks in government godowns.â http://www.firstpost.com/economy/how-the-government-makes-you-pay-more-for-food-958459.html and http://m.firstpost.com/india/govt-may-release-food-grains-stock-to-curb-inflation-kv-thomas-977507.html Government overspending, profligacy and the resulting fiscal & revenue deficit: http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/columns/fiscal-deficit-devil-lies-in-the-detail/article4452563.ece High oil prices and the depreciating Rupee that makes imports more expensive. http://www.firstpost.com/economy/inflation-still-high-due-to-oil-prices-fiscal-deficit-rbi-620622.html
Tushar A. Katira at Quora Visit the source
Other answers
Supply problems? I doubt India as a whole will have any supply problems. This is excessive corruption coming at play. You can buy anything from govt nowdays, which makes consumer industry charge anything to pass on the cost and culture to consumers.
Mayur Aggarwal
Till 2007 a lot of inflation could've been attributed to the commodity boom. But since then commodities have struggled. The high inflation rate in India from 2008 is because of Printing of Money. That's it.
Billu Mandal
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