How likely is flooding in Valley Stream/Rosedale NY from hurricane Irene?
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Hurricane Irene is said to hit NYC and LI. How likely is it to flood here in the Valley Stream LI/ Rosedale Queens area? We are not coastal but not too far from streams, man made lakes, and the ocean which is about seven miles away.
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Answer:
No one knows for sure with Hurricanes, but I lived in Valley Stream right on the border of Rosedale for 10 years. The only flooding I remember occurred on Central Ave not far from the Key Food Supermarket, under the overpass when you get off at exit 13 of the Southern State Parkway. Whenever there was very heavy rain, it would form a lake in that area that was hard to pass. Not sure if they've improved the drainage.
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Other answers
Right now, there is a 20 to 40 % chance of that area experiencing a 2 feet storm surge, and a 5 to 10% chance of a 4 feet storm surge. Are your streams tidal? How much rain is predicted for your area? Any of these factors, if they all occur together, could cause a lot of flooding. Seven miles to the ocean is close, in terms of hurricane effects. The winds could cause a lot of damage to trees, outdoor property, and power wires. My inclination would be to go spend a nice weekend someplace else. To read how to analyze the NOAA computer models for your particular location, please see my blog at the link below. BTW, right now you have about a 30% chance of having steady 50 kt winds and a 5% chance of having hurricane force winds.
majoranne
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