What is the percentage of luck to skill in Texas Holdem Poker?
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I am debating this with my husband. He says that there is 20 percent luck to 80 percent skill... I say it is closer to 40 percent luck to 60 percent skill. What do you all think?
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Answer:
Quantifying it in a percentage is just silly. I could easily understand how you could say its 100% skill or 100% luck or anywhere in between. We can't control the outcome of the cards to come out just how we manipulate the betting sequence. If you don't care or don't realize how important that sequence is obviously you're going to be more likely to think its more a game of luck. If you do, then its easy to have the mindset that the game is 100% skill given enough hands. Enough hands is a lot of hands though...like even 100k isn't that huge of a sample size as people would have you believe it to be.
justdank... at Yahoo! Answers Visit the source
Other answers
Depends on how open you want to be about it mathematically. If you are playing 1 hand of poker, luck is the over riding factor above skill. If you play 10 hands of poker, luck is still more relevant than skill although skill plays it's part. 100 hands, more to with skill. 1000 hands skill is going to have more influence than luck. 10,000 hands luck can't be used as an excuse anymore 100,000 hands skill is the most important factor and luck is only a minimal factor. This, in poker is all part of what is called expected value and variance. Poker is infact very mathematical. It's too in depth to write about it all here.
Danny N
There is no way to tell exactly. I would say that It is all skill and all luck. You can't win without luck and you can't win without skill. In order to answer your question you should at least set an example goal. Consider this: 1. You go to a cash game at local casino with 200$ and you sit on a 0.50$/1$ table. Your goal is to make 800$ and stand up. For this particular poker session I would say that you could be correct madam. It could even be like 50%/50% skill compared to luck, or even luck is a priority. 2. You play poker each day abiding all rules. You play tournament poker, cash tables, you play online, live at local casino, live at when on vacation. You play omaha, texas, badugi and all sort of poker. And your goal is to make profit in the long run. In other words you try to keep a positive balance on your lifetime play of poker. On this occasion I would guarantee you that luck is under 10%. By all statistics the chance of going broke from poker when you do your bankroll management correctly is under 4%. By a recent study 56% of russian poker players are ahead of playing poker - they are in the black. With all that being said I would conclude that poker is a game of skill. And luck is a factor just like the wind is a factor at tennis or temperature is factor at football.
Georgi Himchev
Texas Holdem does not require very much skill. Its based on luck for your hand, because you have to have the best 5 cards. You just have to know when to stay in and when to fold. That part comes from playing a lot. The more you play, the more you learn!
poopy skadoopy
That question can't be answered without a critical piece of information-- the number of hands being played. 1 hand is 99% luck 1 million hands is 0% luck (or if you prefer, 0.0000000000000001% or something similar) Just like if you go play Roulette and bet on Black. In one spin it's entirely possible that you'll win. But in 1 million spins it's *guaranteed* you'll come out a loser. The casino doesn't get lucky to beat you, it has a small edge which becomes insurmountable the longer you play. A good poker player has an edge over his/her opponents just like the casino has an edge over the roulette player. On any given hand, the world's worst poker player can beat the best player in the world. But if the two of them played for a year straight, it would be for all intents and purposes *impossible* for the bad player to finish ahead of the pro at the end of the year. Definitely nowhere remotely close to 60-40. The bad player would have a better chance of winning the Powerball a bunch of times.
Divide By Zero
Very hard to tell this way. It all depends on which timeframe we are talking about, if you are talking about tournaments or cash games and what games (Texas Hold'em and Omaha differ in skill factor). As a professional poker player I can say that in the long run, the skill factor is pretty big but to put a percentage on it is pretty hard.
Paulo Jansen
Approximately 90% to 10%. If you are skilled enough and you aggressively make other players fold, then the luck factor gets even lower. There is no guarantee against a nasty bad beat now and then, though.
rock1977_1999
Luck only determines what cards come out - skill determines what you do with them. Even lousy cards can become winners occasionally with canny betting strategies.
TheMadProfessor
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