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What would happen if America stopped all imports and exports?

  • Hypothetically speaking what would happen if America would stop all imports and exports? What would happen if suddenly everything would have to be "Made in America" and all oil imports, "Made in China" manufactured goods etc were stopped (or very heavily taxed)? Ditto for exports of raw resources? What would be the effect on American and world economies short and long term.

  • Answer:

    In the short term, the US and world economy would completely collapse. Many nations depend on the US as a market for their goods, and without the consumers in other nations, the US would have excess of some goods but not enough of other things which we import (such as oil, electronics). Not to mention that the world's financial markets would seize up as dollars were no longer available to exchange for local currencies, and banks were unable to lend to businesses and individuals. Almost immediately there would be massive black markets abroad to buy goods made in the USA, and massive black markets in the US to buy foreign made goods. In the medium term -- assuming that the people did not revolt and overthrow the government that imposed the restrictions (which... they would, believe me), the overall utility (happiness) of society would be reduced greatly. GDP per capita would decline sharply and many people would become unemployed as their jobs had to focus production on goods that could be produced within the USA with USA resources. Prices would probably fall sharply for some goods (things that are made easily and cheaply here, which would flood the American market) and increase sharply for other goods which can only be made from foreign inputs or produced in foreign countries. In the long run... most people be alright, but everyone in the world would suffer from a lower standard of living. Many people (millions? tens or hundreds of millions?) in the third world who depend on US markets, goods, and foreign aid would suffer and probably die. Markets are very resilient, even if the people who constitute them are not always resilient, so the world market would eventually return to a "steady state," but without the USA. Like a blanket with a big hole in it.

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Other answers

Prices would soar for things primarily imported or made from imported materials (which is almost every manufactured good). Gasoline and diesel fuels would skyrocket, as well as fertiliser, plastics, metals of all kinds. There would also be huge shortagages on nearly everything, from bananas to gas, to plastics, to computer chips and cars. And with low unemployment currently, there would be a huge shortage of workers to make stuff that was previously imported, causing wage push inflation and huge increases in illegal immigration. And there would be a lack of capital for building the operations needed, pushing up interest rates. A pretty bad situation overall.

robrobiii

Massive Inflation!!! Imagine how much that iPod would cost if Apple had to setup a factory in the United States and employ US workers at the average wage of $17/hr? Trust me, that iPod would cost a fortune. So much so, that Apple would most likely not even sell it, cause nobody could afford it.

Alby

Inflation would devastate our economy. Also we would not have most things because the Liberals have made it illegal to manufacture anything or access our own natural resources. The unions have been propping up the Liberals for many years, they got what they wanted. Business has been punished to the point that they have left our country. To stop all trade would devastate us at this point.

retstocks

all the economies in the world, not only in USA, imports is an important component of national internal product...only it will be feasible to make products with 100% national components..this means a reduction in real GDP in big magnitude that can be described like the broking of all economy...

CSI - Economics

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