What genuine arguments can be used to oppose the theory of global warming?
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Please indicate the arguments that you think are valid reasons to refute the accepted theory of global warming. In doing so please put your arguments into their correct context and explain why you consider your points to be valid together with the requisite supporting evidence. For example, saying global warming is caused by natural cycles is meaningless unless you can identify which natural cycles and how they are influencing the climate. This is one of five questions I’m asking, please see my other questions. Thanks in advance to all who answer.
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Answer:
Well, the genuine arguments are easy to list. Ok, there really aren't any genuine arguments that can be used to oppose the theory of global warming. The planet is far too obviously warming even for the die hards to claim it isn't with a straight face any more... The arguments against anthropogenic warming are in about the same state. There just isn't any way to get around the fact that humans have increased CO2 concentrations by 40% without taking some pretty serious liberties with math or claiming extreme ignorance. Obviously if we put far more CO2 into the atmosphere than CO2 concentrations are increasing, then we must be the primary cause of the increase. Now, that brings us to the real question. There are several arguments that can be made that AGW isn't a serious threat or that it may be beneficial. Not that these are particularly strong arguments, but they are still relatively valid. Of course you know I love it when they are all three used. lol Monday: denierX - There is no warming. The surface station data is manipulated/missing/made up. denierY - The warming is natural. All the planets are warming up. It's the sun. denierZ - The lefties are all meanies who want me to give money to the government and the poor, jobless, pot-head, hippy, living-in-their-mom's-basement, commie, lazy stupid-heads. Wednesday: denierX - Volcanoes spew far more CO2 into the atmosphere than humans ever have. That's why the warming is natural. denierY - The liberals want you to think that any day now, the planet will explode into billions of little bits unless you let them tell you what kind of car to drive and you go live in a cave somewhere. Really though, with more CO2, we won't know what to do with all the extra food we'll have and Santa will start coming down the chimney *TWICE* every single year! denierZ - One time when I was driving an armored transport for the army, I realized that I was the smartest person on the planet (except of course for my brother). So I watched In Search Of one time and Mr. Spock said another ice age is coming... It must be true. Saturday: denierX - I had to shovel five *HUNDRED* millimeters of global warming off my driveway today. I can't wait till that global warming really starts kicking in. Now that my driveway is clear, I can drive my F350 down my 50 ft driveway to get my mail. denierY - I took my temperature last night and it was 96.7. Obviously there can't be any global warming if my temperature is too low. denierZ - I read every book on a library shelf once and saw bigfoot. He was trying to search for porn on one of the library computers. doesn't he know that they block most porn sites? Anyway, humans can't influence the climate so the warming must be natural. _
Trevor at Yahoo! Answers Visit the source
Other answers
None that I am aware of. Skeptics have hundreds of arguments. Many people find that fact impressive and the fact that they do have so many is great material for a Gish gallop. Over 170 have been debunked in this link alone. http://www.skepticalscience.com/argument.php Many denialist claims are outright lies, such as statements to the effect that volcanoes emit more CO2 than humans, that global warming has stopped and that the Hockey Stick has been debunked. Other denialist claims are non-sequiters, such as "CO2 is plant food," or "CO2 lagged temperature." Such claims may be true, but do not mean that CO2 does not absorb infrared. (Although "CO2 [past tense] lagged temperature" is often expressed as "CO2 [present tense] lags temperature," which is actually a lie.) Still other denialist claims are uncertainties, such as claims about climate models not being reliable the uncertainty of climate sensitivity. While uncertainty arguments are often true, pumping CO2 into the atmosphere just because of such uncertainties sound like a dangerous game of Russian Roulette to me. Denialist also often resort to ad hominem arguments, often by slandering climatologist James Hansen, paleoclimatologistl Mann and activist Al Gore. Ad hominem arguements are completely unscientific. The way to test or challenge statements, claims and theories of climatolgists and advocates is to use the scientific method. In scientific testing, even a scoundrel can turn out to be right and even a saint can turn out to be wrong.can be wrong. OM Yes, unless your falling leaf is in a vacuum, it is effected by forces other than gravity. But it still hits the ground. Mintie B I think that you are talking about the unfalsifiable alternative hypothesis. Every scientific "fact," "law" and theory has one.
Climate Realist
I don't think there are any really good arguments to oppose the theory of global warming, but I think it is reasonable to say that we don't have any sort of precise number for how much warming will come about due to a certain level of increase of CO2. The ranges quoted from various models are really quite large and more precise answers will have to wait until we have a longer track record at forecasting climate as well as more detailed models. Models rely on various parameterizations and will for some time to come. There are no cloud resolving global climate models and we need separate parameterizations for different types of clouds (stratus, cumulus, cirrus). The global models are just beginning to include atmosphere-ocean coupling. There are still great data voids of the world's oceans (although those are to some extent being filled in by satellites) and to a lesser extent there are also data voids over land masses, particularly for those variables that are not routinely measured, like soil moisture. Perhaps most importantly, climate models need to be run faster, so that the ensemble techniques that are currently being employed for routine forecasting can also be used for climate forecasts. All that being said, I believe that climate models are getting better every day, researchers are working very hard on them. I think when they give us estimates of temperature increases expected from global warming, and changes to precipitation patterns, we need to pay attention to them. Reality will undoubtedly differ in some important respects from what the models tell us, but future climate will almost certainly be closer to what the models are telling than to our current climate, and denying that we are bringing about changes in the Earth's climate is not just short-sighted, but potentially disastrous.
pegminer
"More research is needed" because we aren't completely sure yet. This barely (stretching hugely) "valid" or "genuine" argument has little appeal for deniers here because (a) the con artist sites they use don't like it and (b) the con men on those sites don't like it because it strongly suggests that there really is more to climate science than just the mighty socialist conspiracy of Al Gore and his amazing technicolor time machine.
Hey Dook
Trevor, you of all people should know that the only sound argument opposing the current AGW theory is to propose another alternative that both explains existing evidence and makes accurate predictions better than AGW does. (Such as, but not limited to, cooling predictions made relative to Pinatubo in 1991.) The only sound response would be an alternative. And anything worthwhile wouldn't fit here. Of course, there isn't an alternative... yet. No one has conceived a comprehensive and predictive alternative. If they had, it would be framed in lights and there would be a Nobel issued soon enough.
Jonathan
My previous answer to you is probably directly applicable to this question as well so I'll cut and paste the pertinent parts: Quantum mechanics is not the only issue in understanding a system as complex as the climate of the Earth. There's especially the physics of thermodynamics. While we understand the three basic laws of thermodynamics, it is not a simple task to apply them to a chaotic, non-linear system. This is where the role of feedbacks comes into play along with several variables that not fully quantified like clouds. Simply stating that an increase in a greenhouse gas concentration would cause a rise in temperature is ignoring many other factors in the climate system. A good example is a falling leaf. In a perfect vacuum it would land directly below where it fell and in a calculated time. In nature, it would rarely do so as predicted. That is the problem with trying to apply QM and thermodynamics directly to a natural system with multiple variables, many not well understood and probably several not even known. Edit@david b: "For AGW theory to be incorrect several scientific laws must be violated, which is "impossible."" For my falling leaf analogy, if the leaf does not fall from a 20 foot tree and land directly below its drop point in precisely 3.2234 seconds, did it violate the laws of gravity?
Ottawa Mike
Please state the theory of global warming you'd like us to consider
DaveH
==== Maxx -- >>All these points and evidence have been posted a hundred times<< Your ignorant and/or irrelevant talking points are "genuine" Bullshit – not genuine evidence. ===== Mike -- >>A good example is a falling leaf. In a perfect vacuum it would land directly below where it fell and in a calculated time. In nature, it would rarely do so as predicted.<< That is a false because the vector of a hypothetical leaf falling in a perfect vacuum would not be the "predicted" outcome of a real leaf falling in the real world. The predicted result would be a probability function based on the morphology of the leaf, wind, air resistance/friction, etc., as well as what we know about the velocity of free-falling bodies - and the empirical model would be more accurate. >>For my falling leaf analogy, if the leaf does not fall from a 20 foot tree and land directly below its drop point in precisely 3.2234 seconds, did it violate the laws of gravity?<< It, of course, violates neither Newton's Law or Einstein's Theory - nor does it address david's point or have any relevance to climate science and AGW.
Gary F
I agree with Dook. Statistically, the theory cannot be "proven" much as smoking can't be proven to cause cancer. More work can certainly be done to refine the theory and improve forecastability by marginalizing uncertainty. Regardless, the physical framework upon which the theory is built can be and are the basis or myriad scientific laws. For AGW theory to be incorrect several scientific laws must be violated, which is "impossible."
david b
Hi Trevor 1 1.5 kW – tech: legal limit of power output of an amateur radio station in the United States 2 50 kW to 100 kW – tech: highest allowed ERP for an FM band radio station in the United States 3 10 MW – tech: highest ERP allowed for an UHF television station I did some maths and found this as reference http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_number_of_television_broadcast_stations One thing I didn't do was add all the repeater stations and satellite links I just used the main stations which came to 27,190 x 10MW= 271GW of accumulative ERP (Effective radiated power) 4 Radars are also on my list to search ERP levels (weather,shipping and aircraft radars) and lets not forget space research 5 The mobile phone network is also a problem and needs to be calculated 6 The military will be the hardest to calculate no power restrictions when it comes to war, the one with the most power wins . I recon by adding all the above ERP there will be over 2 terawatts emitted per hour 24/7 night and day and it's all this energy that is disrupting the natural cycles of the atmosphere and oceans. There needs to be a push to make the electronic industry put some infrastructure in th ground and stop pumping GW of energy into the oceans and atmosphere I wounder why Australia is spending billions on putting fiber optics in the ground when the wireless networks are already set up?
john m
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